An oil expert explains the importance of the Baghdad-Kurdistan agreement and its impact on the global market.
I
raqi Oil expert Furat al-Moussawi considered the oil agreement between Baghdad and the Kurdistan Region a strategic and important agreement that paves the way for future legislation of a new oil and gas law. He noted that the next three months will be a litmus test of the extent of all parties’ commitment to its provisions.
During his appearance on the “Free Talk” program on Al Furat TV, Al-Moussawi said, “Iraq has suffered for more than twenty years from financial and economic problems that have affected the salaries of the region’s employees,” noting that “there are clear clauses in the agreement and others that remain ambiguous.”
He pointed out that “Iraq has been restricted in expanding industrial and development projects due to a production quota described as unfair, as its production ceiling has been set at 4.6 million barrels per day since 2018.”
Al-Moussawi explained that “Iraq attempted to negotiate with OPEC to increase its oil quota, but the negotiations did not achieve the desired results due to the quantities produced in the region outside SOMO’s quota. These quantities were deducted from Iraq’s OPEC quota and set at 1.4 million barrels from October 2024 until the end of October 2025, which harmed Iraq’s financial revenues and reputation within the organization.”
The expert discussed the demands of oil companies operating in the region, stating that “one of these demands was addressed by setting $16 as an approximate average figure, with an international company to determine the transportation and cost costs to pay those companies’ dues, amounting to approximately $1 billion, which was transferred to the federal government.”
He added, “The previous contract between the region and foreign companies was based on production-sharing, but a compromise formula was reached that allowed for the writing of a new law. Eight companies also requested to sign new contracts with the Baghdad government to guarantee their rights, with the federal government paying the companies $16 in kind through deducting oil quantities, not in cash. This was considered an achievement for those companies, with the agreement to postpone payment of the $1 billion.”
Despite the agreement’s importance, Al-Moussawi described it as “cautious due to its potential financial and legal risks,” noting that “Turkey seeks to cancel the Ceyhan pipeline and conclude a new agreement by the end of 2026, while Iraq has rushed to pump the region’s oil through the existing pipeline to increase its negotiating leverage with Ankara.”
He added, “The region’s oil companies are looking to sign formal international agreements with the federal government,” stressing that “Iraq will participate in the upcoming OPEC meeting on October 5, where it was agreed to raise its quota to 4 million and 220 thousand barrels per day, including between 800 and 900 thousand barrels for domestic consumption, with full commitment to the quota to strengthen its position in subsequent negotiations to increase it.”
Al-Moussawi explained that “Iraq views the Ceyhan pipeline as a strategic option for diversifying export outlets and preventing any smuggling attempts,” noting that “the region’s oil quantities will be counted toward Iraq’s OPEC quota,” noting that “oil derivative prices in the region are very high due to the reliance on private refineries.”
He concluded his remarks by stressing that “setting the 50% share for the region is not the end of the road, as Baghdad will work to raise it to 70% and also supply the region with kerosene and gasoline to ease the burden on citizens.”
Alforatnews.iq