Economist: The 2026 budget train has left the station… the government is patching up the deficit by borrowing.
Economic expert Basil Al-Obaidi confirmed today, Thursday, that insisting on preparing and approving the general budget at this time is “a form of absurdity” and has no benefit whatsoever, at a time when the country’s financial affairs are being managed by “patchwork” and borrowing from banks.
Al-Ubaidi told Al-Maalomah that “the train has already left the station. Iraq is now staggering at the end of the sixth month, and the bureaucratic processes involved in approving the budget will inevitably hinder and delay it until next September.” He added that “a budget approved for only three months of a fiscal year that is nearing its end is worthless.”
He added, “The preparation of the budget depends primarily on estimating revenues and expenditures, which is difficult to achieve at the present time, given the significant decline in the country’s revenues as a result of the repercussions of the regional crisis and the disruption of export traffic through the Strait of Hormuz.”
Al-Obeidi pointed out that “Iraq needs a period of no less than two months to restore some degree of financial stability, pending an improvement in oil revenues and the return of exports to their normal levels, in the event that the Strait of Hormuz is reopened and all the technical and logistical requirements related to pumping Iraqi crude oil to the ports and export outlets are completed.”
The economist warned that “the anticipated budget will turn into an arena for political bidding, where it will be bombarded with explosive demands that a short-term budget cannot accommodate, starting with a flood of appointments, bonuses and patchwork, and ending with a conflict over projects.”
Al-Ubaidi called on the Cabinet to “preemptively address the crisis and prepare a draft law for an exceptional operational budget for emergencies, to manage the remainder of the year, while postponing the comprehensive budget to 2027,” stressing that the upcoming budget must be “real and completely different from its predecessors, which existed only on paper.”
Almaalomah.me