Research Center: Iraq is at a pivotal moment to address its economy and revive the private sector.
The “ Center for Research and Strategic Studies ” stated that Iraq needs a “realistic diagnosis of its economic imbalances” in order to implement appropriate reform prescriptions, a step that will not succeed without a strong private sector, instead of relying on the state, which acts as if it is the sole engine of the economy, meaning that the country is facing a “pivotal moment.”
The Jordan-based “Links Center” said in a report translated by Shafaq News Agency that the Iraqi economy has suffered for many years from a clear paradox: it possesses large financial resources, but its ability to transform these resources into real and sustainable development is weak.
The center explained in its report that the relative financial stability that Iraq is witnessing today does not necessarily mean the soundness of the economic structure, but rather hides behind it accumulated structural imbalances resulting from excessive dependence on oil, the inflation of the role of the state, and the weakness of economic and administrative institutions,” adding that “any serious talk about reforming the Iraqi economy must start from a realistic diagnosis of these imbalances before moving on to reform prescriptions.”
According to the report, successive governments have succeeded in managing short-term stability by expanding public spending, taking advantage of oil revenues and high cash reserves. However, this approach has created a fragile economy that depends more on oil shocks than on production.
He continued, saying that public budgets have ballooned significantly since 2004, not as a result of growth in the productive base, but due to the expansion of operating expenses, especially salaries and subsidies, which has made the state the largest employer and source of income in the country. This has imposed a constant burden on public finances and limited the government’s ability to direct resources towards long-term investment and development.
The report argued that the economy cannot become a productive economy as long as government employment remains a substitute for real job opportunities in the private sector, adding that reforming the salary scale and linking wages to productivity, along with redefining the role of the state from a direct employer to a regulator and supporter, represents a fundamental step in the path of reform.
The report considered the social support system to be another example of structural dysfunction, explaining that the comprehensiveness of the support, despite its social importance, led to a great waste of resources and reduced the effectiveness of social protection.
He added that reform does not mean reducing support as much as it means redirecting it towards the most needy groups, and linking it to real economic empowerment policies that open the way for work and production instead of permanent dependence on subsidies.
The report stated that the energy sector represents one of the most prominent structural challenges that drain public finances and hinder growth, noting that the huge spending on electricity has not succeeded in providing a stable service, due to imbalances in management, governance and collection.
He pointed out that the continued flaring of associated gas is a glaring example of mismanagement of resources, as Iraq loses billions of dollars annually that could have been turned into a source of energy, income and job opportunities. Therefore, the report concluded that real reform in this sector requires a comprehensive restructuring, not partial or temporary solutions.
The report continued, stating that Iraq possesses important strengths, most notably monetary stability, high foreign reserves, and low inflation. However, these indicators will remain of limited impact unless they are translated into real growth in the real economy, which requires a radical reform of the banking sector to enable it to finance investment and production, and not just be an intermediary for trading liquidity.
The report concluded by saying that no economic reform in Iraq can succeed without a strong and effective private sector, explaining that the state is no longer able to continue as the sole engine of the economy.
He added that “what is required is a stable business environment that protects the investor, reduces bureaucracy, and provides clear and fair rules for competition, as the efficient private sector is not a substitute for the state, but rather a key partner in achieving development.”
The “Links Center” report concluded that the Iraqi economy stands today at a pivotal moment. Either the current financial stability will be invested in launching real structural reforms that rebuild the economy on the foundations of production and diversification, or dependence on oil and public spending will continue, with all the future risks that entails. It concluded by saying that “reform is not just a political option, but an economic necessity to ensure stability and development for future generations.”
Shafaq.com