A researcher puts forward a “terrifying” scenario regarding 90% of the Iraqi currency

A researcher puts forward a “terrifying” scenario regarding 90% of the Iraqi currency

Baghdad: The economic researcher Manar Al-Obeidi put forward a disturbing hypothesis about 90% of the Iraqi currency printed by the Central Bank, which is outside the banking system, as he indicates that this money may not be hoarded by the Iraqis already, but may have been destroyed or fled abroad.

Al-Obaidi began his article by asking: “Is the Iraqi cash really hoarded?”, Noting that “according to the latest Central Bank data, the volume of cash outside the banking system is around 76 trillion Iraqi dinars, representing more than 90% of the volume of cash issued.”

He explained that “it is always explained that it does not appear in the banking system as hoarded in homes or among people due to the low level of financial inclusion,” adding, “But there are indications that may indicate that this money may not only part of it be hoarded, but part of it may be deliberately or deliberately destroyed.” fled abroad.”

He added, “The first factor is that the growth rate of cash currency issuance during the past years is not matched by the same growth rate of cash in the banking system, even if the percentage of cash in the banking sector is small, but its growth rate should be almost similar to the growth rate of the total cash currency issued as the currency grew.” Cash issued from 50 trillion to 80 trillion during the past two years, but it did not grow in the banking sector at the same level, as it rose from 5 trillion to 6.5 trillion only during the same period.”

And he continued: “The second matter, depending on the population of Iraq, the level of poverty and unemployment rates, ages, and the rates of residents in Iraq, the rate of hoarding money for every Iraqi person living in Iraq and not below the poverty level is about 3.5 million Iraqi dinars, meaning that the rate of hoarding money for every Iraqi family is about 20 One million Iraqi dinars, and this also contradicts reality.

And he pointed out that “the third thing is that the percentage of cash in banks does not rise much with the increase in interest rates offered by banks and the incentives offered by banks to attract this money, although many of these offers are of great interest and certainly will not attract all the money outside the banks, but it is undoubtedly It should have affected, even if by a small percentage, the percentage of the issued cash.”

And he considered that “all this leads to saying that the cash is not hoarded by the Iraqis, but rather it is either damaged or fled, or that it is present in a parallel banking system that is far from control and is controlled by parties that have nothing to do with the decision-making authorities in Iraq.”


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