Iraq after Daash ready for more complex challenges

December 23, 2015

It seems to understand the perceptions of the main parties, which is leading the political process and a review of the ceiling in the conflict The priorities of each of them enough to understand the size of the complexity facing Iraq in the post "Daash".

The conflict "demographic" has emerged as a front to reflect the broad risks to the country in its continuation as a cohesive entity, with the explanation that Kurdish officials statements to the effect that "Iraq's pre-fall of Mosul will not be back as it was," as a message concerning the "disputed areas" adjacent to the region and some of them seized by the militant group .

Although the actors in Iraq appear to be compatible to a large extent on the difficulty of return the country to the pre-tenth of June 2014, but that the Working on diverse areas populated returned again Almkoonati conflict in the midst of the war on the terrorist organization since the liberalization of the district of "Sinjar" of the city of Mosul by Kurdish Peshmerga forces open the door to Aaidath This is already repeated in other areas in Diyala with modern fundamental and lasting in this conflict Kirkuk remained.

Kurdish parties do not hesitate including "Kurdish" Democratic Party, led by regional president Massoud Barzani, in the escalation of the tone separation in conjunction with the acquisition of "Daash" over large areas and in most of them adjacent or close to the three provinces territory even been in more than one occasion the link between liberalization "disputed", annexed to Kurdistan This reinforces course the idea of ​​"Kurdish state" with Iraq's semi-public conviction that the declaration of the State in the north of Iraq depends only on the resolution of the ownership of those areas which are connected administratively including several Iraqi provinces of Nineveh province.

Political and says the former Iraqi MP Wael Abdul Latif said that "things are beyond Daash will not be less dangerous than the organization itself."

And between for "discussion" that "what is certain that this Daash to the demise of Daash but another will begin the danger represented by the border conflict and retail, wealth and power."

The words of the former Iraqi deputy phrase refers to the challenges and the challenge is true that in the story of the survival of the Kurdish areas with Iraq is that emerged in the wake of the entry "Daash" to Sunni areas, but the truth is that the fate of those areas raises many complications.

Other issue is the problem of the "Sunni representation" in Iraq's post-Saddam Hussein, and the crises that accompanied the western and northern areas of Iraq, home to the majority Sunni throughout the years of the change, which represented the backbone of the reasons behind the occupation of almost one-third of the country's regions.

The question is how will the Sunni areas after "Daash"? This question is almost the first concern Almtsidin of the resolution in Iraq at a time when the Iraqi government did not succeed in winning all year to be described in its ongoing since the summer of last year's war, and conferences reconciliation erected - some between representatives of the government and the parties to Sunni and some conferences between failed Anevshm- year in the development of a clear answer about how they can save the Sunni cities and resettle thousands of displaced residents.

Even that rely on the "Sunni province" project requires first exceeded several points, the most important rivalry between Sunni and geographic forces acting in this region includes the provinces or Is separated into multiple regions.

Yet it can not deny the successive Iraqi governments have failed after 2003 in opposition to resolve the insurgency as the mood in the areas controlled by "Daash" now, but he (the Sunni - Sunni) can not also be denied that this competition or conflict was an important factor in this failure.

In the sense that finding a Sunni party unable to participate in determining the post-Daash depends not only on the government in Baghdad, but the Sunni powers itself.

He predicted MP Ali Keywords close to the current Prime Minister that the occupied territories after witnessing edit splits up end to the armed conflict.

Keywords and said for "discussion": "There is a political group that wants to separate from the Sunni areas of Iraq and oppose this approach from other parties predictor of internal conflicts about the representation of those areas."

He pointed out that "internal conflicts in Salah al-Din in the Tuz area may arise in other areas under the economic and financial challenge and compete for power and clear."

On the other hand do not seem to be revolving around the Shiite parties in control in Baghdad has the answers to what can happen as a result the completion of the liberalization of all Iraqi regions and this in conjunction with a clear difference in the inside around the idea of ​​federalism and the fate of the military establishment and the future of the popular crowd and this could be one of several reasons stand the way of resolving the "National Guard", a project put forward by Washington to resolve the knot Sunni representation of the security and the authority responsible for the protection of the liberated areas.

And this accumulation as a result of the delay, which was dealing with the political forces after 2003, and not resolve all of the security and political challenges, puts Iraq on the brink of the abyss with the emergence of the challenge of the economic factor due to the decline in oil and the costs of the war prices, which can be determined is the other "post-editing options."

Nutshell, the salvation of Daash is not the end and put Iraq who faces this time, the economy, security and policy factors, the most harshly does not pay more than the optimists to expect easy days even to acknowledge that the division of Iraq option (Sunnis, Shiites and Kurds) is probably stronger on the other, means the beginning of the road seems complex also kicks off at the border between the story of "the three countries" does not end when the competition or conflict within each and every one of the key components.