It is EVICT MALIKI DAY + FIVE (5) or " E - M DAY +5 ".
The countdown to election day is over. Will Maliki be evicted ? The coming days will be telling. First, we await the tabulation of votes, challenges and appeals must run their course, and then we should have a certification of the results and know which cluster received a plurality of the vote. News articles report that the foregoing will take about three (3) weeks and after May 25.
" After the conclusion of national elections, the Iraqi constitution stipulates that the CoR ( Council of Representatives / Parliament ) will vote for senior positions in the Iraqi government, including the President, the Prime Minister and his deputies, and the cabinet. Although each CoR ( Council of Representatives / Parliament ) member contributes an individual vote, in practice this voting occurs only after an agreement has been reached among the senior leaders of the political groups, invoking party loyalty and voting discipline thereafter. The selection of the cabinet requires an absolute majority of the CoR ( Council of Representatives / Parliament ) members’ votes (165 votes). In the final negotiations over government formation, even small groups can play a decisive role if they are able to provide the last few votes a governing coalition needs to clear this constitutional hurdle. " http://www.dinarupdates.com/showthre...ll=1#post57926
Following the last election the new parliament opened on 14 June 2010 following the election on March 7th. Iraq set a record for the longest period of time without a government which lasted for about ten (10) months. It is EVICT MALIKI DAY + SIX (6) or " E - M DAY +6 ".
Iran seeks Shiite consensus on next Iraqi premier
Iraqi Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki has received direct and ongoing support from Iran during the eight years of his mandate, and has maintained excellent relations with Tehran throughout this period. He refrained from criticizing the Iranian regime while he was making scathing comments against [other] countries involved in the situation in Iraq. Maliki did not express any opposition to Iran’s requests regarding Iraqi domestic issues, nor to those involving the country’s foreign affairs that are linked to Iran’s interests in Syria and other countries.
During the 2010 elections, Iran insisted on supporting Maliki and forced its allies from other Shiite parties to join hands in order to bring him to power for a second time, despite their strong objections and the objections of non-Shiite parties. Iran showed a tendency, before the elections, to keep Maliki in office for a third term, and there have been many negotiations in this regard.
Al-Monitor learned from a source close to the Iranian Embassy in Baghdad that [commander of the Quds Force] Qassem Soleimani came to Baghdad weeks prior to the elections to try to generate support for a consensus among Shiite party leaders — including those from Maliki's Dawa party, the Islamic Supreme Council of Iraq led by Ammar al-Hakim and the Ahrar bloc led by Muqtada al-Sadr — in support of Maliki, but the leaders of the other parties resisted the effort.
Grand Ayatollah Ali al-Sistani and other clerical leaders in Najaf have rejected an initiative to build consensus around Maliki serving a third term as prime minister, according to sources in Najaf. Follow-up meetings in Iran by Iraqi delegations from the Shiite parties were unsuccessful.
Iran started to show some flexibility about the next prime minister shortly before the election. The new Iranian website Tabnak, which is close to some powerful parties within the Revolutionary Guards and the Expediency Discernment Council of the System, issued a report on the status of the elections in Iraq on April 23.
The report, titled “Maliki is not accepted by anyone in Iraq,” highlighted the size of objections to a third term by the Shiite authority in Najaf, in addition to Shiites affiliated with Hakim and Sadr, Kurds, the secular forces, as well as many Sunnis.
Iranian Ambassador to Iraq Hassan Danaei declared a few days before the elections that Iran supports the demands of the Shiite authority for change.
Also, following the reaction against Grand Ayatollah Sheikh Basheer Najafi’s stance, Danaei said Iran rejects all forms of prejudice against the authority. Najafi had previously criticized Maliki's performance ahead of the elections, and had strongly demanded that people not vote for him. This resulted in harsh criticism from Maliki’s close associates.
In addition, Iranian news sites held interviews with Ayad Allawi for the first time, and these types of interviews cannot be usually conducted and published without security approval. Allawi has accepted Iran’s direct and extensive role in Iraqi decisions, and demanded that the Iranians watch over the interests of Iraqis alongside their nationalist interests. He also said that he was stunned by Iranian rejection of his gaining power, as he is not hostile to Iranians and is ready to cooperate with them on the Iraqi issue.
Nevertheless, reports indicate that Iran wants to keep Maliki in his post, based on the logic that it is more important to keep your old friends than it is to make new friends that you have not yet tested. Iran is certainly not interested in Maliki as a person, but rather in its own interests in Iraq as a country and as a safe crossing to support Syria. This means that it will not oppose a reliable replacement of Maliki to the post of prime minister, in case Iran's other allies insist on it. There is more than one person who can be accepted by Iran among the candidates of the two main lists of the Shiite alliance, namely the State of Law Coalition and the Citizen Coalition.
On the other hand, a desire to revive the Shiite alliance immediately after the elections has emerged, after the failure of a plan to form a majority government that Maliki advocated, and after his rivals could not win the number of seats that would have enabled them to take the State of Law Coalition out of the equation. Based on that, there seems no other way to reach an agreement among Shiites; new alliances could be made with the Kurds and Sunnis, seeing how difficult it will be to secure the majority required to form the next government without any of Maliki’s supporters and rivals.
In addition, the Shiite authority and Iran insist on preserving the unity of the Shiite front in order to guarantee the political interests of the largest Iraqi component. At the same time, the parties concerned have started to unofficially suggest figures to succeed Maliki in private political corridors in order to check the reactions of the other parties.
Under such a contradictory atmosphere, it seems most likely that the main Shiite parties will agree on a consensus candidate who meets Iranian standards and who is not rejected by the Kurds in any way. When Shiites, Kurds and Iranians agree on a single candidate, it should be easy to find a Sunni ally given the divisions Sunnis are witnessing.
While Iraqi Kurdistan’s fierce 2014 election competition has subsided, power struggles and deal-making between the major parties are likely to continue in the months ahead. Preliminary results for the provincial councils indicate that the secular nationalist parties — the Kurdistan Democratic Party (KDP), the Patriotic Union of Kurdistan (PUK) and the Gorran Movement — have won the majority of seats. Still, Islamic groups have emerged as a swing vote, particularly in contested localities and where traditional party alliances are dissipating. Capturing the Islamic vote may help secular parties temporarily consolidate power, but it also underlines the deeper challenges of institutionalizing a new power-sharing arrangement and managing the Kurdistan Region’s rapid economic development and social changes.
Summary⎙ Print Islamic parties in the Kurdistan Region of Iraq represent the swing vote in the region’s stalemated political process.
Author Denise Natali
Posted May 5, 2014
In contrast with other regions where secularist and Islamist political agendas are generally in conflict, in the Kurdistan Region the secular nationalist parties are courting the Islamic vote. While quelling radical Islamic tendencies, the KDP and PUK have appeased Islamic parties by providing revenues, salaries and political positions to their leaders. Islamic parties such as the Kurdistan Islamic Union (KIU), Kurdistan Islamic Group (KIG, Komal) and even the once radicalized Kurdistan Islamic Movement (KIM) are part of the Iraqi Kurdistan parliament and the Kurdistan Alliance in Baghdad.
The Kurdish secular-Islamic nexus has become more complicated, however, since the rise of the Gorran Movement in 2009 and weakening of the PUK. While remaining part of the KRG, the Islamic parties have joined the opposition to demand political reform and an end to corruption. They also have benefited from the power struggles between the secular parties and breakdown of the KDP-PUK Strategic Agreement. In the effort to reconfigure the balance of power and form a new government, secular parties are courting Islamic groups. Although the new Kurdish parliament has yet to be formed after seven months, the KDP offered the KIU the Ministries of Labor and Social Affairs, Electricity, Parliamentary Affairs, Disputed Areas and the Head of the Department for Nongovernmental Affairs. Similarly, the newly appointed speaker of the Iraqi Kurdistan parliament from the Gorran list is an Islamist.
Islamic parties also have become part of the competition for control of provincial councils, which have gained importance since they receive their own budgets from Baghdad and are responsible for economic development, service provision and appointing key posts, including the governor. Although the Islamic parties received about 15% of the overall vote in the 2014 provincial council elections and will likely secure no more than about eight seats in each of the three 30-to-32-member councils, they will play an important role in forming coalition administrations. Their swing vote will be necessary in Sulaimaniyah, where Gorran won 43% of the vote, and whose governorship remains contested by the PUK.
Although the secular-Islamist pact has been criticized by some within both parties, it is generally tolerated given the Kurdistan Region’s current political climate. That is, it is considered less "blasphemous" for secular and Islamic parties to affiliate than it is for the KDP to join the PUK or Gorran, or for Gorran and the PUK to turn to the KDP. This tolerance also reflects the nature of Kurdish society — 95% of which is Sunni Muslim — and the general perception that the Islamic parties (KIU) are neither corrupt nor militarily threatening, particularly since they do not control oil revenues or have their own militias. Gorran also has rationalized this alliance as part of its effort to create a “Gorrani” identity whereby membership is not based on an individual’s political background but a shared philosophy based on anticorruption.
Islamic influences are penetrating the Kurdistan Region in another more subtle way. According to one Erbil resident, “The secular parties’ own second generation is becoming part of Islamic institutions from within.” Others have described a “whole new generation of Kurds following the Quran.” Some residents argue that this trend is a reaction to the rapid lifestyle changes linked to the Kurdistan Region’s vast oil wealth; nightclubs, massage parlors, bars and immodest attire — even if they benefit materially from the oil wealth. Still others are convinced that their national wealth is being stolen. These sentiments also are shaped by regional influences, such as Turkey's ruling Justice and Development Party (AKP), which espouses pragmatic, economic development and conservative Islamic values.
Indeed, there has been a backlash against Islamic influences by secular nationalist groups and individuals. In the 2009 parliamentary elections, KIU offices were attacked and burned down. Clashes between secular groups and Islamists reoccurred in Dohuk province in 2011, which led to the burning down of Christian and Yezidi shops where alcohol was sold. During the 2014 election campaign in Erbil, unknown gunmen fired at the home of Ali Bapir, leader of the KIG and killed a KIG guard. Secularists also criticize Islamic influences as a “tumor growing within Kurdish society, alongside corruption.” Some worry that an increasingly Islamic political space and society, alongside unchecked corruption, will give rise to small Islamic parties that can mobilize the masses.
These trends have implications for governance and development in the KurdistanRegion. Under the current circumstances, it is unlikely that a strong Islamic opposition movement will emerge in the Kurdistan Region. The majority of Kurds do not seek an Islamic state or government and the region currently has no strong autonomous Islamic institutions that can challenge the secular nationalist parties and their entrenched patronage networks — which have deepened with the presence of oil revenues.
The fragmentation of party politics and need for coalition governance outside the KDP-PUK strategic agreement also may help balance power in the Iraqi Kurdistan parliament and provincial councils. What is less certain, however, is the extent to which greater Islamic group influences will affect the KRG’s political, economic and social development. Gaining greater Islamic party buy-in may enhance local representation, but it will likely require trade-offs with the KRG’s fast-track development and political agendas as a means of assuring local and regional stability.
MPs rejected the political blocs third mandate of the owners will accelerate the form
MPs rejected the political blocs third mandate of the owners will accelerate the formation of the government
Mon May 05 2014 23:23 | (Voice of Iraq)
Long-Presse / Baghdad
Confirmed Allawi's coalition, said on Monday that there is a consensus to reject the pay current Prime Minister Nuri al-Maliki, a third term, expected to lead to accelerate the formation of the new government, while counting the deputies of the three political blocs, that the differences between the blocks hinder the possibility of holding parliamentary sessions The discussion of the draft federal budget, although the Council has all its powers until the end of the legislative session mid-June.
The MP said the coalition of national, Salem Delly, in an interview to the newspaper (range), "The Iraqi Council of Representatives will remain active until the end of the current legislative session, which is authorized according to the system control and legislation of laws," returned to "The situation is chaotic in the country and the political scene tense and the security situation deteriorating, and the controversy over the third term of the president of a coalition of state law, Nuri al-Maliki, inhibits the commitment of the House of Representatives sessions of Parliament. "
The MP for the coalition of former Prime Minister, Iyad Allawi, that "to convene a parliamentary session and sent to the members of the Council to discuss the federal budget, but they did not respond because of the lack of agreement blocs political project," adding that "the current parliament is unable to approve the budget in election cycle Current ".
The deli, that "the House of Representatives was unable to pass laws under normal circumstances, so it is impossible to enable it approved during the current term of the confused experiencing significant challenges," noting that "the current phase through which the country is very difficult, not easy to put Iraq on the road to democracy and challenge the dictatorship, in light of talk about the third term of the owners. "
The MP for the coalition of national, that "the political blocs are all about categorically reject the third term of the owners," pointing out that "it will cause in the formation of the next government more quickly."
To the MP said the coalition united for reform, and communication Salim, in an interview to the newspaper (range), "The powers of the Council of Representatives of Iraq continuing until the 14th of next June, is supposed to hold hearings unusual and discussion of draft laws, particularly the federal budget, and the approval and oversight bodies government, "afterthought" but that differences on the federal budget to prevent hearings. "
According to a member of the coalition, which is led by parliament speaker, Osama al-Nujaifi, that "the differences between the political blocs on oil exports and benefits companies are the main obstacles that have not solved up to now", usually the "agendas partisan prevent the adoption of the budget because of the political blocs are looking for their own interests."
In a related development, said a member of the legal committee for the MDC Kurdish, gentle Mustafa, said in an interview to the newspaper (range), "The current Parliament can exercise its authority all until the end of the legislative session," noting that "the Council is working on legislation of laws, including the federal budget, but the lack of a quorum prevented it. "
The Iraqi Council of Representatives ended in (12 March 2014), the first reading of the draft law of the financial budget for the current year of 2014, but the differences between the federal government and the Kurdistan region, most notably those related to file the oil, prevented further discussion and approval.
Commission for Elections: Official results of the elections on 25 May next
Commission for Elections: Official results of the elections on 25 May next
Mon May 05 2014 23:59 | (Voice of Iraq)
BAGHDAD / translation Baghdadi News
Announced the Electoral Commission for elections in Iraq on Monday, the final official results of the parliamentary elections will be announced on May 25 of this month, according to what the site Arak Bazenz News.
The number of initial results have been issued or what has been described as the first sorting claimed a number of parties for the preparation of the approximate number of seats at a time when it was announced that the Prime Minister has enough seats to keep his job.
I have noticed these ads Commission results in the past few days, indicating that the early announcement of election results can not be relied upon.
Kurdish MP: Maliki's chance to get a third term is very weak
Kurdish MP: Maliki's chance to get a third term is very weak
BAGHDAD / NINA / The MP, of the Kurdistan Alliance, Mehdi Haji said that Maliki's chance to get a third term is very weak.
He told the National Iraqi News Agency / NINA / : "Maliki's chance to get a third term is very weak , as the American administration expressed its refusal to stay in his post, as well as Iran because it cares about the Iraqi issue more that the United States and other countries , as it considers Iraq a pivotal state and a contributing factor to the Government of Syria and to connect with the Lebanese Hezbollah . "
He added: "I believe that the Sadrist movement and citizen coalition will ally without the state of law to form a new bloc , and the two would team up with the Kurdistan Alliance , national Coalition and Muttahidoon and other parties to form a government in which all the components of Iraq participate."
Poster's note of explanation : " ........ the Sadrist movement ( Ahrar or Liberal Blocs ) and citizen coalition ( Hakim ) will ally without the state of law to form a new bloc , and the two would team up with the Kurdistan Alliance ( Barzani, Barzani and Co. ) , national Coalition ( Allawi and Watiniyah ) and Muttahidoon ( Nujaifi ) and other parties to form a government in which all the components of Iraq participate."
Kurdistan: the possibility of the Islamic Supreme Council and the Sadrists cluster configuration one and form a government in alliance with us
Baghdad - Called the Kurdistan Alliance MP Hamid rest of the citizen and the Liberal coalition to work on forming a unified bloc between them and the nomination of the Prime Minister for the next government.
Said Buffy in a press statement seen by the Agency for News News (et) "From my point of view the possibility of all of the Islamic Supreme Council and the Sadrists cluster configuration and one that will be the prime minister of Andahma to form the next government in alliance with the Kurdish bloc which we expect gaining 60 seats Uma about this number because the region's share alone is 44 seats and there is a quota for the areas in which they live outside of the Kurds in the region up to 20 seats. "
"The results are still preliminary and are not clear, but generally we see that a coalition of state law and because of the failure of the government in the management of the country has decreased the number of seats in parliament to 70 seats instead of 89 seats Guy previous elections in return got an increase in seats other parties of the National Alliance, such as a coalition of citizens and the Liberal ".
He guessed the rest of the "changing lineup of the next government and the prime minister as the seat of the Executive first in power, which inevitably will be the component most of the Iraqi people, either the presidency is the maturity of Kurdish nationalism and can not take this position for another party, considering that Iraq is composed of bi two basic Arabs and Kurds and the job is the maturity of the Kurds The presidency of the Council of Representatives will remain the Sunni Arabs. "
There is a trend to re-collect Iraqiya coalition List
BAGHDAD / NINA / MP, of Muttahidoon coalition, Raad Al-Dahlaki confirmed, "the existence of a trend in the Iraqiya List's parties to pick up and re- grade its fabric, but not all previous parties."
He told the National Iraqi News Agency / NINA / The last meeting that took place between the leader of the (United for Reform) Muttahidoon, Osama Nujaifi and leader of the National Coalition , Iyad Allawi , was very positive and got great convergence between the two coalitions," pointing out that "this convergence will lead them to unite with the rest of the other Iraqiya parties, in order to create a coalition represents Iraqiya List and Sunni component in the negotiations that will take place with the rest of the winning blocs after the announcement of the election results. "
He added, "There are convergent visions between Iraqiya parties and some other political blocs, regarding the form of the next government and how to run the State, adding, " But these visions were not reaching to the signing of an agreement between these parties, pointing out " there will be, during the coming days, a map and a clear strategy between these blocs for the management of the political process in the next stage . "
The head of / united for reform coalition/ Osama al-Nujaifi had discussed earlier with the head of the National Coalition, Iyad Allawi, " the political situation in Iraq and the results of the elections that took place in April 30."
Hakim continues to conduct himself like a, or the , " head of state "
*** Hakim continues to conduct himself like a, or the , " head of state " *** :
Hakim meets with Kuwaiti Ambassador to Baghdad
BAGHDAD / NINA / The head of the Islamic Supreme Council, Ammar al-Hakim discussed with the Kuwaiti ambassador in Baghdad, Ghassan Al-Zawawi bilateral relations and ways of developing them .
A statement of the Supreme Council cited that "the two sides also discussed the success of the parliamentary elections in the country and the relations between Iraq and Kuwait in various fields."
Hakim stressed the need to speed up the formation of a national government based on a national project and a clear-cut action plan agreed among the Iraqi political forces , as well as a strong team in order to contribute to run the country and provide security and provide services to the Iraqi people .
For his part, the Kuwaiti Ambassador confirmed the good relations between the two sides and efforts in order to upgrade them towards further development to serve the two peoples and the two brotherly countries. "
BAGHDAD / NINA / Head of the Supreme Islamic Council of Iraqi, Ammar al-Hakim stressed on the need to develop relations between Iraq and France in order to achieve the common interests of the two peoples and the two countries.
Hakim, during a meeting at his office in Baghdad with the French ambassador to Baghdad, Denis Gubler according to a statement of the Supreme Council said that "The new Iraq aspires for openness and peace, extending the hand of friendship to all in order to achieve development and advancement in various fields.
For his part, the French ambassador, according to the statement, praised "the broad participation of the Iraqi people in the last election and the enthusiasm shown to the democratic option to draw a promising future.
The oil crisis between Baghdad and Erbil divided government administration coming in
The oil crisis between Baghdad and Erbil divided government administration coming in Kurdistan
Tue May 06 2014 01:13 | (Voice of Iraq)
Irbil Shirzad Shaikhani
Despite the KRG Prime Minister Barzani before parliamentary and municipal elections that took place during the last week to proceed with the sale of oil in the region, the source to Turkey, but it seems that many obstacles stand in the way of this process.
It has called on the Baghdad government of the region to enter negotiations crucial to solve the node oil which raises crisis storm between the two governments since the government declared the region its position calling for the export of oil to the Turkish ports in isolation from the control of the authorities of the Federal see which in turn export process in violation of the Constitution, as it is in accordance with Iraqi constitution is supposed to be the federal government was aware of the entire export operations, quantity and Akiemha and the fate of its revenues, and these things are still KRG refuses to disclose, and this was also confirmed by a leading party, the Patriotic Union of Kurdistan led by President Jalal Talabani, recalling just Murad, head of the Central Council of the National Union of SMC b »Sabah» that the National Union will not accept any export large quantities of oil from the Kurdistan region without coordination with the federal authorities and in accordance with the constitutional provisions relating to the process of the sale of oil ». Murad said »must know the volume of exports, and at what price are sold, and where to deposit returns, in the sense that there will be complete transparency and clear for the sale of oil from Kurdistan, and must be oil revenues at the disposal of the Ministry of Finance the region in order to coordinate with the Federal Ministry of Finance to determine our share of those revenues and exports, and this is what is stipulated in the constitution, which must be adhered to by everyone and respected ».
The Chairman of the Central Council of the National Union »that in future meetings of the Parliament of Kurdistan will be the first task for Ktltna parliamentary is the pursuit of transparency, the issue of oil, in addition to the issue of re-draft constitution territory proposed to the parliament, because we are the light of these issues, and we agreed to extend the presidency of Mr. Massoud Barzani for two years therefore emphasize that without full transparency for the sale of oil will not accept any export volumes because these people's wealth is supposed to be devoted to the service of the citizen ».
Asked about his position on the justification for the Government of the region, which invoke the export of oil to secure the salaries of its employees, said Murad »Why did not spare part from the proceeds of the quantities exported previously to secure it, we do not object to the use of our financial resources to serve the citizens and the payment of salaries and improve their living conditions, but is supposed to be done transparency within the framework of the rights recognized in the constitution ». seal Murad concluded:» must be the National Union henceforth fully aware of all exports and imports will not accept to keep our resources at the disposal of a specific destination in isolation informed others and is supposed to be the process transparently ».
On the other hand oppose the administration turn on the export of Kurdish oil in isolation from the consent of the federal government in Baghdad, as confirmed deputy State Department spokesman »that the administration objected to the export of Kurdish oil without the approval of the federal authorities, and there must be complete agreement between the two governments in this regard» .
Objections internal and external pressure played a role in Turkey's efforts to stop the Government of the Territory to sell quantities currently stored Turkish port of Ceyhan.
It has already Turkish Energy Minister Taner Yildiz hinted that the possibility of starting to sell oil Kurdish stock this week, but Turkey still hesitant in this regard. Yildiz said »that Turkey has completed all preparations for the start of the sale of Kurdish oil, and no amounts currently estimated at one million and 800 thousand barrels stored at Ceyhan awaiting the final decision of the Government of the Territory to begin selling».
In connection with the leadership of the Democratic Party of Kurdistan, who leads the Government of the Territory declined to comment on the position of his party's final of the export of oil and said «morning» that there is a decision of the party leadership not to interfere with the work of the Government of the Territory, and in matters relating to the sale and export of oil must contact officials in the Ministry of natural resources they are authorized to declare this issue »but« morning »tried to contact the Minister of Natural Resources and advisor to the ministry to investigate the last positions in this regard, but not one of them responded to our contacts.
5-6-14 Tlar: So here it is. Sometime in the next two months this will be over. The dinar will revalue and the truth will be known to all. I'm sorry if you missed the clues.
I would never do this and I apologize. I can't say more but I was wrong on the value. It is more than delete the zeros, or 86 cents. I told my family only the detail.
Those that know me know I have never said this. I have not put this out to my group nor will I, but I am sure its done. If I was not sure and had not accidently heard this today I would never put my *** on the line like this.
Please do not confuse this with the kooks out there who say it is happening everyday.. It is over.
This could happen at any time from this weekend through the next 60 days.. Its done.
At the risk of marginalizing myself, It is done. I was a fool in trying to figure this out numerically. It is more than I thought.
I am not a guru as you know, I am only a student. I haven't said anything like this ever and yes I believe what I heard today. 60 days or before and I'm sure. From this weekend on.
I risk my reputation on this for what that's worth. If I'm wrong I just finished myself off and I know it. What I heard today while being sworn to secrecy compels me to share with you guys.
I wish I could be more specific but my word is important to me. I don't mean to be coy. We will all be surprised with what's coming, especially me.
I would never have believed it if it had not come from someone I know personally, has the credentials and is not a rumor monger or bullshitter. I respect this person.
If I am wrong, you know as well as I do, I just laid myself out. Truth is I could not stay quiet.
You guys accepted me into your fold without hesitation and without condition or judgment. I am returning the favor. I love you guys. If I'm wrong, I will quit posting altogether. I didn't say this to get noticed.