Gold slips as dollar basks in hawkish Fed comments

08/29/2016
BENGALURU — Gold edged lower on Monday as the dollar got a boost after hawkish comments from Federal Reserve chairwoman Janet Yellen left the door open to a US interest rate hike as early as September.
The case for raising US interest rates had strengthened in recent months due to improvements in the labour market and the expectation for moderate economic growth, Yellen said on Friday.
Spot gold had dipped 0.25% to $1,317.60/oz by 3.44am GMT. The metal closed last week down 1.5%. US gold futures fell 0.41% to $1,320.40.
"We think the pressure on gold is likely to increase as we go into September, as participants are now more willing to bet on a rate hike given what they have gleaned from top Fed officials on Friday," INTL FCStone analyst Edward Meir said in a note.
Gold is highly sensitive to rising US interest rates, which increase the opportunity cost of holding nonyielding bullion while boosting the dollar, in which it is priced.
Spot gold could drop to support at $1,308/oz, as suggested by its wave pattern and a Fibonacci ratio analysis, said Reuters technical analyst Wang Tao.
"I think gold prices will still see support at about $1,300, despite what has been said in the Jackson Hole (Fed) symposium. It is of no doubt that the rate hike expectations have gone up for the year ahead," said OCBC Bank analyst Barnabas Gan.
Given the fact that the US presidential election is due and the full blown consequences of Britain’s vote to leave the EU remain to be seen, there is still some risk-aversion in global markets and gold should pick up to $1,350 by year-end, Gan added.
Hedge funds and money managers increased their net long position in Comex gold contracts in the week to August 23, while they cut it in silver, US Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) data showed on Friday. The dollar stood tall in Asian trading on Monday with the dollar index, which tracks the greenback against a basket of six rivals, steady at 95.523, not far from Friday’s high of 95.594, its loftiest level since August 16.
Among other precious metals, spot silver dropped about 1% to $18.43/oz, and spot palladium eased 0.42% to $682.63/oz.
Platinum was up 0.29% at $1,070.60/oz.
Reuters

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