Part of the Convention on Arbil Published: Then what?

Ryder Fisher

If there was a need for any reminder, the diversion of some outstanding issues related to the Convention of Arbil over the weekend, they serve only to highlight the essential characteristics of virtuous qualities and is implementing that agreement as a whole. The list is published is not a "deal" never, but the agenda of the legislative priorities, which include many of the items appear as particularly difficult, including the Supreme Court Act, which requires a constitutional majority of two thirds of the votes. And also, it must be emphasized that the points published is not an agreement Arbil full, which also includes documents, specific tripartite, the only thing the site by Prime Minister Maliki and Allawi, head of the Iraqi and Barzani, president of the Kurdish region, which deals among other things, with the intention to establish a Council strategic policy .

And certainly the only professional the whole subject, some points of agreement Arbil amount to rewriting the Constitution de facto manner. This includes a "consensus" absurd and ridiculous, which requires consensus by 100% for some topics, "ominous", including the constitutional amendment. And without concern that the constitutional procedures kept to a minimum is a list, and item suspicious the other that has been highlighted is the concept of "constitutional balance" - a code of quotas racial - ethnic and supposed to have been applied to various situations such as agents ministries, ambassadors and government bodies. In fact, the Iraqi Constitution only requires such a quota system for the armed forces and security forces and the Commission to amend the constitution. And other requirements of the constitutional balance is only placed in Article 105 relates to the formation of the committee that you ensure that the provinces and territories (not ethnic) post will be given "fair" in the government. Again, this depends on future legislation can not be carried out by authority of the political leaders. And occasion, he, the Convention on the Erbil is simply too large and ambitious - it's a classic case of political greed and not more than that.

Thus, in spite of this tragic disclosures, the only question truly important in parliamentary politics in Iraq these days, remains whether the Sadrists are attending for the disbursement of al-Maliki of the service or not. With the exception of that - and so abominable to apply the Convention, any small amount of the Convention on Arbil - will play through the hands of al-Maliki left the very important delay in the preparation of legislation to indefinitely. At this time, al-Maliki will continue on its own within the lines popular strategy: to participate in low power and minority government de facto, negative in the accumulation of Ministers who lack effective parliamentary ratification. It seemed as long as his enemies are unable to unite in the veto, so why not do anything else, al-Maliki?

And there is also a word derived from the international approach to Iraq's power struggle continues in this system. Those who want to get rid of Maliki - especially in Iraq, but also in some American circles - spend being filmed in an Iranian creature. But we must keep in their thinking is that Moqtada al-Sadr, who leads the weighted sound in this topic. Whatever is decided by the chest is probably what you see Iran being hurt at the center of interest. Accordingly, if the Sadrists had to line up with after all others to vote to oust al-Maliki, this is likely to reflect the desire of Iran to see him leaving, perhaps in order to replace the Prime Minister of a Shiite "weak." There lies the difficulty of understanding why those who argue in toppling Maliki from the standpoint of the anti-Iran.

As for the United States, there are two approaches contradictory at work. Prior months ago, was accused of abetting the Obama administration as a policy of "fragmentation of Iraq," a view to full integration of some Iraqi ministers and other government officials at a time is the removal of parts of Iraq who do not cooperate with al-Maliki. There is doubt in the merits of the charges. But in any case, it is worth mentioning that if there really such a policy by Washington, they are full of contradiction in the insistence of the U.S. government itself to hold Erbil Convention as the basis for integration better for the government. All this because of it, as long as the Convention on Arbil on the agenda (rather than focusing on a deal more restrictive but can be implemented on the Minister security), the figures mean basic in Iraq, such as Osama al - Chairman of Parliament - will continue to take positions that Allawi and the Kurds will remain large gap continues , without any meaningful integration of the secular and the year in the current government. There are reports that the Kurdish Barzani, president of the region has traveled to the United Arab Emirates for a high-level meeting, perhaps to accumulate even more pressure on Maliki. The truth is that Barzani can travel as far as what he wants, but not less important than doing little to make Moqtada al-Sadr actually withdraw confidence from Maliki