Science Monitor exclude the outbreak of civil war in Iraq: Citizens are tired and politicians will lose the oil money
22-05-2013 | (Voice of Iraq)

Note American writer that the situation in Iraq at risk now, but the country will not fall apart in a spiral of civil war, because the wounds of Iraqis are still deep conflict years 2006 and 2007, as well as the leaders of Sunni and Shiite profit from Iraq's money will virtually untouched by many of the civil war will not be the outcome different from its predecessor.
He asked Dan Murphy in the Christian Science Monitor newspaper whether the acts of murder and revenge killings enough to drag Iraq into civil war again, and believes that the bouts of sectarian fighting observers worried several times over the past few years, but the worst is yet to come now.
Murphy said that "after the killing of more than 60 people in a series of car bomb attacks Monday targeted Iraq's majority Shiite community and weeks of escalating sectarian attacks, many wonder today whether steams raging sectarian tensions once again into all-out civil war."
Said Murphy, who was the newspaper's correspondent in Iraq, that "the situation in Iraq is bad enough, these attacks illustrate this day. Was quoted by Reuters news agency reported an explosion two cars in the major cities of the south with a Shiite majority, Basra; and 30 people were killed in seven blasts different targeted a Shiite neighborhoods in Baghdad; another attack on a bus at least Shi'ite pilgrims near Balad. "
According Murphy said, "This kind of violence which is almost منفذوه chunks of Sunni insurgents, had been in the ebb and flow over the years in Iraq, without the lead in the past to the bloody conflict sectarian widespread as was the case between 2005 and 2008, when he was killed tens thousands of Iraqis to fight on many mixed neighborhoods of Baghdad and other cities into the pockets of Sunni or Shiite completely. because the attack was carried out by al-Qaeda in Iraq on a Shiite shrine in Samarra in February of 2006 caused acts of revenge killings across the country. "
The writer continued that "many long wondered about an event can be Samarra ahead., And good news, if there is good news from the community is still divided and violent Like Iraq today, is that the general population and political elites may routinely to avoid the worst. While moving fire current to taking more lives, but the potential for all-out war may be low, based on the experience of the past few years. "
He continues by saying, "Certainly, the current situation in Iraq is bad. On Friday, killing 76 people, at least in the bombings targeted areas with a majority Sunni in Iraq. These attacks immediately following the attacks on Shiites earlier in the same week. In April, killed More than 700 people, counting the top deadliest month since the year 2008. "
He said that "the government of Prime Minister Nuri al-Maliki has taken a tough stance of the protesters year, Vogart on protesters camp in Hawija caused the deaths of more than 50 people and raised the ire of the country's Sunni minority."
He said Murphy, "The camp protest, such as Mthilath in Anbar province, inspired by a sense of rampant among Iraqi Sunnis view they منقطعون entirely about the meaning of the authority of the majority of the country Shiite, and that the owners ran the country for the benefit of his community rather than in favor of citizens all of them, and that security forces committed violations of human Human unchecked. "
Writer noted, saying, "while ended the worst cases of fighting the Iraqi years ago, but the national reconciliation that predicted the United States it would follow that never happened, leaving Iraqis in a precarious and vulnerable to violence. And Iraq remained one of the countries hardest hit by terrorism, and added to this mixture troubled war in Syria, where he joined a lot of al-Qaeda in Iraq to fight against Syrian President Bashar al-Assad. "
The author argues that "what is more, the powerful Sunni leaders in Anbar province that Syria تحادد and was the center of rebellion during the U.S. occupation. Chasing them the central government, it is difficult to say that it is chasing them right or injustice."
The author said that "Joel Wong has had a good tour around the Sunni leaders in Anbar province, and their struggles recent varied with the security forces of the central government. It is ominous that a number of people he met who had participated in the fight rebels in a row the government and U.S. forces a few years ago . "
The writer refers to the Long said in his report that "the recent incursions and kidnappings, and stop calls to hold talks with the authorities to be added to the fire escalating," adding that "even if I tried the protest movement key, such as those in the gray remain peaceful, is clear is that more people of the province are at least open to provide support, if not negative positive to carry out attacks on the security forces. "
The opinion of the writer that "the existence of all of this, very easy to predict the occurrence of what is worst., But Iraqis may اوغلت their wounds of the civil war, the loss of many on both sides, to the extent where it is difficult to imagine a massive fire Jasper again. Whereas suffered average Iraqis because of weak economy, benefited from Shiite and Sunni leaders on both the generosity of the rise in oil prices in recent years, will not win a lot of all-out civil war is almost certain that it will end the same score: Shia majority country charge of the helm. "
He concludes by saying, "Do not make a mistake. Situation in Iraq Calah. But the country repeatedly fell from a cliff in the past few years., And there is a good chance it a second Sevolha".

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