Can Sadr swing a Nonsectarian Government?
By Ali Mamouri for Al-Monitor. Any opinions expressed are those of the author, and do not necessarily reflect the views of Iraq Business News.
After the Sairoon (On the Move) Alliance emerged victorious in the May 12 Iraqi elections, its leader, Muqtada al-Sadr, has been seeking meetings with the leaders of the other top-vote-getting alliances to discuss the possibility of forming the largest bloc in the new parliament and ultimately form the new Cabinet.
At a May 19 joint press conference after talks with Sadr, Prime Minister Haider al-Abadi, whose Al-Nasr (Victory) Alliance came in third, said, “During our meeting, we agreed to work together and with other parties to expedite the process of forming a new Iraqi government.”
A few days later, on May 22, Al-Nasr spokesman Hussein al-Adeli said Abadi had reached an agreement with Sadr on a map for forming a new government. Abadi himself, in his weekly press conference the same day, said his coalition was close to reaching an understanding with the Sairoon Alliance “to form a strong technocratic government.”…
Read more: http://www.dinarupdates.com/blog/
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G-Lin (Dinar Guru) – […the news is all over the place! Election results finalized, Abadi offered the PM position, government forming quickly, rigged election reports, efforts to cancel the elections, war…] Yes…What it boils down to is whoever develops the largest bloc will decide the ruling party and gov. Looks like Sadr, Abadi, Hakim, and hopefully the Kurds can out number Maliki and Amiri. I think Barzani is considering going with Maliki. That amazes me. We need to sit back and watch the outcome. I have no idea which way the Sunnis will come down. Allawi will always create problems. This may take a while.
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Chattels (Dinar Guru) – 165 seats are necessary. Sadr’s Sairoon (54 seats), PM Abadi’s Nasr (42 seats), Hakim’s Hikma (19 seats), VP Allawi’s Wataniya (21 seats) and the KDP (25 seats) and Qarar (13 seats) makes a total of 173 if my math is correct. Can I get a “Bingo!“? With the Kurds as part of the government we have the best chance to avoid quotas and establish an efficient majority government for legislation without consensus, IMO. Godspeed the completion of the Iraqi Banking Sector Reform Project!
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sandyf (Dinar Guru) – It is a fact that Iraq has for years discussed the project to delete the 3 zeros. It is a fact that ten years ago that Iraq considered the “Turkey model” for their redenomination. It is a fact that in April 2012 the Iraqi cabinet postponed the redenomination indefinitely. It is a fact that in 2009 an investigative report was published into redenominations. It is a fact that the 2009 report concluded that a major contributor to a “successful” redenomination was low inflation. It is a fact that a redenomination introduces a new national currency and that the previous national currency co-exists in-country for a period of time. It would become an ISO historical currency. It is a fact that ISO historical currencies are not recognised internationally…
BGG ~ There are some claims here that I simply don’t agree with… the actual text of noted articles show differently.
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Why am I selling my Dinar?
Simple answer: I’m not – I’m buying. I only sell so that we can increase holdings. We keep everything we can afford to. That’s the general concept anyway.
Sometime back we were able to help some folks in a big way with their currency. This was at a time when the dealers were being very harsh with people on their buy-backs and not really passing much of that on to buyers.
We helped. When their advertised buy-back was $500-600 (depending on condition) we were able to get one man $850 x 60 million and helped save his farm. We didn’t make much – but we helped. It was then I realized, if we were gonna’ keep this up, we ought to get registered as a dealer.
We did. We try to offer the best number for those wanting to get out – and the best number we can for those wanting to get in or add more.
Current Sale Price: $995 per million (2014 25k notes – perfect quality – uncirculated)
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P.S. You are welcome to PM me on FaceBook for more (currency related) info as well.
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sandyf (Dinar Guru) – It is a fact that the Central Bank of Kuwait did not revalue the KWD following the occupation. The KWD was reinstated at the same value as it was prior to the occupation. It is a fact that the CBI published a figure for “Currency Issued” of 42.172 Trillion IQD as of 31st March 2018…It is a fact that no country on a floating exchange rate has allowed “rapid” appreciation of the currency. In recent times the greatest appreciation seen was the Yuan at about 3% per year, many said that was rapid. In the eye of the beholder. It is a fact that I have never said there was no possibility of a positive outcome, Just that it would not be in the way some want to make out…
BGG ~ How does comparing the KWD to the IQD prove anything? Or disprove it – for that matter? It’s like comparing apples and watermelons!!
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Mnt Goat (Dinar Guru) – Article: “MOQTADA AL-SADR, AGREED TO GIVE PRIME MINISTER HAIDER ABADI A SECOND TERM, DURING THE MEETING THEY HAD JUST GATHERED IN BAGHDAD” Okay so now we know Al-Abadi is going to be the next prime minister. We also gain some more insight at to the two conditions that al-Sadr is requiring of him. 1) fight corruption all the way to the top levels of govt 2) publish the list of names of those corrupt political officials.You can bet that on his mind is going after this Nori al-Maliki.
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Adam Montana (Dinar Guru) – …here we are, patiently grinding through Ramadan. As expected, news is a bit slow at this time …The good news is there’s absolutely nothing going on that gives us cause for concern – so sit tight, keep that dinar in a safe place, and let’s just keep an eye on things for the next couple weeks. Once things get moving again, we should be in for a heck of a ride…
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Sadr announces completion of final touches of government
Alsumaria News / Baghdad – The leader of the Sadrist movement Moqtada al-Sadr announced on Wednesday the completion of the final touches of the government, indicating that it is a genuine Iraqi government and opposition to constructive political and peaceful peace.
“Today, I have completed the picture and I have completed the final touches after you have completed the advice and satisfied you with the government,” Sadr said in a tweet followed by Alsumaria News. “It is a Sunni, Shiite, Arab, Kurdish, nationalist and non-sectarian government. Political peace “.
“We will brief them on the details of the many meetings so that they can have good sayings, and then we will wait for the honest and patriotic blocs that are precious to form a strong patriarchal government that will give the people their rights,” he said.
The leader of the Sadrist movement Moqtada al-Sadr met with a number of officials in the Iraqi government and heads of blocs and coalitions, including Prime Minister Haider Abadi, and discussed with them the formation of the next government and its program.
Article Credit: Alsumaria.tv
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Kaperoni (Dinar Guru) – I stated last week that current PM al-Abadi does not want to be PM again. Today, some news surfaced that seems to support that. There may very well be a new PM chosen.
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Mnt Goat (Dinar Guru) – So what next: Iraq is:
1. Much more STABLE politically just having the announcement on Sunday that Al-Abadi will continue on with a second term;
2. That the new government about to be formed will have the full support of the anti-corruption “Sadr Movement” behind it to support what Abadi knows he must do – expose these 1,000 political figures involved in this corruption (or as the CBI has told us they are involved in the FRAUD and MANIPULATION of the currency.
3. Once the MCP monitoring is completed (in the absence of no more violations) this could happen on approx June 15th as Kap [Guru Kaperoni] noted. The CBI is expected to get permission to move ahead with the currency, put it on a float off the fixed rate de facto peg to the US Dollar. They will then re-peg it to the SDR basket of currencies. Here is the juicy part…
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Mnt Goat (Dinar Guru) – ...In pegging it to the SDR basket they must come up with an initial “anchor rate” equivalent and in-line with the basket of 5 currencies in it. This anchor rate in not technically an RV or RI but for our purposes it surely could be a substantial increase in value we all want. I do not believe, as [Guru] Kaperoni has stated …that the “anchor rate” will be the 1184 program rate and they will let it float from that rate.Instead I believe this “anchor rate” could be equivalent to somewhere around a 1:1, 1 dinar : 1 US dollar. By the time we see it on FOREX it may already be well up to the $3.00 – $4.00 range we all want. Like I said in prior news, that this measure will be a counter inflationary measure holding if off FOREX for a few days to maybe a few weeks.
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Source reveals the meeting of Abadi and Sadr .. conditional Second Term!
Baghdad today – A source familiar with the Sadrist movement, the scenes of the meeting of the leader of the current Moqtada al-Sadr, Prime Minister Haider Abadi in Baghdad.
The source said in an interview with Baghdad today that “the leader of the Sadrist movement, Moqtada al-Sadr, agreed to give Prime Minister Haider Abadi a second term, during the meeting they had just gathered in Baghdad.”
He added that “Sadr demanded the return of Abadi from the Dawa Party and pledges to fight corruption fully, including names influential in the political process.”
Sadr’s office revealed details of Sadr’s meeting in Baghdad after midnight on Sunday.
Article Credit: Baghdadtoday.news
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Chattels (Dinar Guru) – Maliki individually received the highest number of votes in the election. [what does that mean for the elections though, will he have any power/say in anything?] Power follows the political bloc and not the individual. No need to be worried. Negotiations continue between the blocs. We are still awaiting a final certification of the election results. The final results must be ratified by the court.
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Kaperoni (Dinar Guru) – [correction] …the 3 month IMF requirement…I want to correct how much time is left. Our countdown indicates 24 days. June/July going to be interesting months.
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Mnt Goat (Dinar Guru) – Just in on Sunday morning – MOQTADA AL-SADR, AGREED TO GIVE PRIME MINISTER HAIDER ABADI A SECOND TERM, DURING THE MEETING THEY HAD JUST GATHERED IN BAGHDAD. …Folks this is really happening. The unexpected miracle already did happen with the Sadar Movement (the underdogs) having won the popular vote...So for our investment these recent events are all very good and the news could not possibly get any better than if they did announce the RV. But they didn’t however we know it is coming shortly and sooner than you might think…
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Sadr and Abadi close to declaring a clear alliance in Iraq
* Iranian efforts to form a coalition led by al – Maliki and Ameri
– Dubai (Arab event): While delaying suspicions of fraud in Kurdistan, Anbar and Kirkuk , especially in the announcement of the final results of the Iraqi elections, in contrast , is growing debate about the alliances that Stffersha elections. The leaks to the near declaration of a clear alliance between the leader of the alliance, “Asron,” Moqtada al-Sadr, who has achieved leadership in this election, and the leader of the coalition, “victory”, Haider Abadi, in a proactive attempt to block the Iranian efforts to form a coalition led by Nuri al-Maliki and Hadi al-Amiri .
The task led by Qassim Soleimani to form the largest bloc in the next parliament does not seem easy. Many sources close to Sadr say many leaders of different blocs want to join an alliance with Abadi and form a government. Negotiations have made significant progress on some issues . The debate remains only about what is said to be required to sever the relationship between the Abadi Party “Dawa”.
Sadr, who is heading to become the most powerful political force in Iraq, for three days, saying that the Iraqi decision will be from within the border and all partners of princes as long as they are not occupiers of the country, as he put it.
Tensions are still rising in Kirkuk, where gunmen have been besieged by several polling stations and pressuring UNHCR to change the election results.
However, with the introduction of the results of the elections abroad, the Commission showed leaks on the change in positions of forces, which called for the Commission to indicate the presence of changes in the sites of blocks, although not large.
Article Credit: Alwatannews.net
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Mnt Goat (Dinar Guru) – …So we all know that Al-Abadi did lose the popular votes, thus he did lose the election, however…Could Al-Abadi be the next PM even though he lost the popular election? …even though a candidate runs for office and does not win the overall popular vote, he/she can still possibly be nominated as the candidate for the office and, if ratified by parliament, take the duty of forming the next government of Iraq, thus the prime minister position. ...So, in this election process of 2018, we see that Al-Sadr does not want to be prime minister since he is a cleric but wanted to be able to select someone who will fulfill the “Sadr Movement’s” party policies. So, who will he select?
That is the million dollar question… …Al-Abadi can be nominated and probably will be the nominee submitted to parliament by the “Sadr Movement”. However, having said this, it is very premature…There is no proof of this. All the news states Al-Sadr has to still decide however he is open to it. This is what he really said. Let’s just watch it all play out and see if there are any surprises…
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MilitiaMan (Dinar Guru) – Article: “The Parliament directs the Commission to take the necessary measures to provide confidence in the elections” The cat is coming out of the bag… Evidence is suggesting the elections are rigged.. No longer doubt but facts. Will the evidence be set aside…? With Al Sadr meeting with the five, I’ll bet as we are taught the results will be “” more of a move along nothing left to see here… lol Plus the USA ordering Solameini “” to get out of Iraq finds us with the hicupps subsiding as he crosses back over the border..? it is also obvious the investors are ready to roll when it comes to re construction.. the timeing of it all coming together is fascinating! Even the video Walkingstick posted has presentation boards in the back drop and advertising those involved!!There was one that stands out to me and if we recall EO 13303, one will know a major player in this project to iraqs MR.. imo.
BGG ~ There is no cat – no bag. The IHEC will address all the complaints in a thorough and complete fashion. If there were fraud – do you think anyone willing to pull such a thing off wanted Sadr to be the winner? C’MON MAN!! The USA doesn’t order the General to do anything, he is our enemy. He does as the Mullahs tell him.
Regarding E.O. 13303 – this is a continuing Executive Order. It is extended every year. This year being no surprise and no “harbinger” of things to come.
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Stryker (Dinar Guru) – Iraq election: Al-Abadi will have to negotiate his future…The vote dealt a blow to Prime Minister Haider al-Abadi, whose Nasr alliance is trailing in third place. But with no group winning a majority, he could still be a major player.
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Abadi closest to the premiership
Said Habib terminal head of the parliamentary wisdom bloc that Haider Abadi, the current prime minister is the closest to get a second term of others and stressed the existence of talks between the blocks of the alliance and the formation of the largest bloc in the coming period.
Al-Turfi said that one of the advantages of Haider Abadi, which qualifies him to renew the mandate for another parliamentary session is to get a list of good seats in parliament in addition to his victory on terrorism, according to his claim.
He stressed that the current wise conditions for the next prime minister in the event of an alliance with him is the application of the law and accountability of corrupt and state building in accordance with sound rules.
He added that the talks to form the next government has started since the announcement of the preliminary results will crystallize during the coming hours to come out of the largest bloc, indicating that the largest bloc will be far from sectarianism and will include all components to reduce the page of sectarianism and abomination.
Article Credit: Irqnews.com
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Kaperoni (Dinar Guru) – The CBI stated a year or so ago, once they start it could take 2 years to delete the zeros. What that means is that the dinar will appreciate gradually (float) as stated in the IMF Article IV Consultation. My view is that once the conditions are met, They accept Article VIII, and move to a float, it could take another 2 years to raise the value of the dinar to a value where the zeros are gone. Not saying it will take that long but it is a directly related to investment. This is why the IMF stated the Balassa-Samuelson effect in the 2012 Article IV. The truth is, if investors are lined up to participate in Iraq, it should happen fairly quickly. But it is up to Iraq to create the right environment for the value to rise. At that point all we can do is hope that investors come to Iraq, begin the substantial rebuilding and investment phase creating inflationary pressure on the CBI to raise the value.
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Stryker (Dinar Guru) – Abadi still has time to shine these next few weeks, and gain his second term along the way!
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Breitling (Dinar Guru) – What does it [Iran sanctions] mean for Iraq? …as the new sanctions come up…the rest of the world will not have access to Iran’s energy sources and they [Iran] will not have access to most of the world’s energy sources. So how does that translate for Iraq? How is Iraq involved? Because If you look at Iran, Iran is Shia…so they belong to a different church than the Sunni and the Arabs…If there’s going to be big huge sanctions on Iran they are going to use the same backdoor market that they did last time before the sanctions were lifted. And guess what that backdoor market was? Iraq. Because there are more Shia in Iraq than there are Sunni and Kurds. That’s why it’s a good thing for Iraq…
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6 corrupts, perhaps including Nuri Al-Maliki, about to flee Iraq: Sources
More than six corrupt figures are currently preparing for fleeing Iraq through the Baghdad International Airport, well-informed sources told the Baghdad Post by phone on Monday.
The sources who requested anonymity did not name the corrupt figures. But it is most likely that former PM Nuri al-Maliki is among them.
Sadrists on social media urged prominent Shia cleric Moqtada Al Sadr to swiftly form a government in a bid to prevent corrupt officials from fleeing the country.
With most votes counted, Al-Sadr-led Saeroon (On the Move) coalition is taking the lead.
Article Credit: Thebaghdadpost.com (Special Thanks to Charles Bright)
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Chattels (Dinar Guru) – 30 days remaining to meet IMF compliance according to Kap’s countdown. Coincidentally that date will coincide with the Eid al-Fitr Holiday and the end of Ramadan…
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Kaperoni (Dinar Guru) – Our unofficial IMF compliance countdown clock for the 2% compliance is now at 30 days to go.
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Chattels (Dinar Guru) – These are the steps to form the next Iraqi government… “Basnews: According to the Constitution...The Iraqi parliamentary elections, which took place yesterday, have followed the steps of forming the new government within 90 days. The steps in accordance with the Iraqi constitution will be as follows:
– The Independent High Electoral Commission (IHEC) will announce the election results on Monday.
– President Fuad Masum calls on the new parliament to convene within 15 days of announcing the results.
– Legislators elect a speaker and two deputies by an absolute majority at the first meeting.
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The Commission announces the results Thursday and says: Do not believe the rumors
Baghdad / SNG – A member of the Board of Commissioners of the Electoral Commission, Hazem al-Ridini said that the figures announced by the Commission for what the entities have received is not final changeable but not by large proportions, and the other surprising is the circulation of names winning inaccurate numbers.
“The announced votes for the lists do not represent 100 percent, but some satellite channels have tried to influence and distort the results in advance by announcing inaccurate numbers,” he said.
“The final results will be announced on Thursday, during a press conference announcing the number of seats and the winning candidates and the number of votes they have won,” he said.
Article Credit: sngiq.net (Special Thanks to Charles Bright)
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Chattels (Dinar Guru) – These are the steps to form the next Iraqi government...
– Parliament elects a new president by a two-thirds majority of deputies within 30 days of the first meeting.
– The new president nominates the candidate of the largest bloc in parliament to form a government.
– The prime minister-designate shall have 30 days to form the government and submit it to parliament for approval.
– Parliament must approve the government program and each minister separately in a separate vote by an absolute If the prime minister-designate fails to form a coalition government within 30 days or if parliament rejects the government proposed by the prime minister-designate, the president must appoint another candidate to form a government within 15 days.
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Kaperoni (Dinar Guru) – Just a reminder to all, that Prime Minister is not an elected position. It is a consensus among political blocs after the election. So we are in for a bit of a wait while negotiations and alliances are formed.
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Chattels (Dinar Guru) – Mosul, the second largest city in Iraq has yet to indicate any returns from the polls. Abadi was expected to show well in Mosul / Nineveh, we shall see.
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Who? What? Why? Iraq’s election (2018)
BGG ~ Folks, it is as simple as this… These election results are critical. Even with an outright win by Abadi, it may well take him some time to fully form his next GOI and move things forward.
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Kaperoni (Dinar Guru) – …update, the countdown is at 33 more days until the CBI meets IMF compliance. Hope they can keep the auctions below 2%.
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Chattels (Dinar Guru) – Polls are open on Saturday, May 12 from 7am to 6pm across Iraq and the Kurdistan Region as voters elect a new parliament, the first election after ISIS. Al-Abadi is likely to win 60 seats in the parliamentary elections. …Results within 48 hours they say… [If he wins 60 seats, will that give him a majority?] No sir. [So, he’ll need to form a coalition?] Yes sir. [How long do you folks think it will take for Abadi to form a coalition?] There is no certainty that Abadi’s coalition will be asked to form a government. The top individual list vote getter has never become PM in Iraq. It all depends upon the coalition(s) formed post election. Maliki’s State Of Law Coalition lost out in 2014. Allawi lost out in 2008, etc
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Kaperoni (Dinar Guru) – Today is election day in Iraq. So far, it appears that al-Maliki and his coalition has lost in the elections.
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Iraqi Police Intercept 31 Boxes of $100 Bills from Iran to Promote Iraqi Puppet
The Iraqi Police intercept 31 boxes filled with stacks of $100 bills, smuggled from Iran, into Iraq, to be delivered to Hadi Al-Amari, head of the pro-Khomeiniist regime Badr militia.
VIDEO EXCLUSIVE : #Iraqi Police intercept 31 boxes with stacks of $100 bills, smuggled from #Iran, into #Iraq, to be delivered to #HadiAlAmari, head of #Badr militia and current Iraqi parliamentarian, for his re-election, ahead of the May 12th vote.https://t.co/uT3zneaEhK
— IsiCrc_Org (@IsicrcOrg) May 9, 2018
HERE IS THE VIDEO:
BGG ~ Talk about COLLUSION!! Imagine if something like this had actually gone on here in the U.S.??
I’ll give you two good guesses as to where these $100 bills came from… (… and the first hint is – it wasn’t DONALD TRUMP).
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MilitiaMan (Dinar Guru) – Article: “Karim Tamimi calls on parties and candidates to abide by the silence of the media” Quote: “the media silence will begin at 7 am on Friday 11/5/2018, twenty-four hours before the start of the polling day, which will start at seven o’clock on Saturday 12/5/2018.” I wonder if the 24 hour silence is also in synchronization for other notifications. I wouldn’t be surprised for that to be very plausible. imo.? hmmm Lets not also forget that Electronic Payments started today on Mastercard…
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BGG (Dinar Guru) – Article: “Abadi: The corrupt have become restless” Quote: “the corrupt were pressing for the collapse of the dinar prices and work to raise prices, but failed to do so,” asserting his quest for “a new renaissance of Iraq to restore its past and even better.” I have to think – with the context of his commentary in this article focused on the value of the Dinar, Abadi has something planned for after the elections. I’m not exactly sure what he’s talking about here… but it sounds good to me!
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Kaperoni (Dinar Guru) – Dollars are being sucked up right now in Iran. As well, the Rial has dropped to 67,000 to one US dollar. We’re going to have to keep a close watch on the CBI over the next few weeks Iran has a tendency to suck dollars out of Iraq when it needs them and this could affect the spread. Course if this happens is bad for the CBI cuz it’ll affect its reserves as well it’ll knock the spread out of whack with the IMF forcing them to start over again on the 3 month compliance. Hopefully Iran’s weak currency and lack of dollars does not affect the CBI. They must be pretty confident since they are liberalizing even more. Remember the IMF and US Treasury helped them figure out how to get the spread within compliance last fall.
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Abadi: The corrupt have become restless
Information / Baghdad .. Prime Minister Haidar al-Abadi said on Tuesday that the corrupt in Iraq have become restless by the measures taken by the government, pointing to his quest for a new renaissance in Iraq.
Abadi said in a speech during an election festival in the province of Wasit and followed by “information”, “The corrupt in Iraq are getting mad with every action by the government,” noting that “the corrupt failed in the face of government action.”
He added that “the corrupt were pressing for the collapse of the dinar prices and work to raise prices, but failed to do so,” asserting his quest for “a new renaissance of Iraq to restore its past and even better.”
Abadi stressed that “the government reduced the privileges of all officials during the last stage,” pointing out that “hit the corrupt and the hands with an iron fist.”
Article Credit: Almaalomah.com (Special Thanks to Vernell Washington)
BGG ~ I have to think – with the context of his commentary in this article focused on the value of the Dinar, Abadi has something planned for after the elections. I’m not exactly sure what he’s talking about here… but it sounds good!!
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Post RV Checklist (it’s getting to be that time!! Listen up!!)
Dos and Don’ts of Windfall Wealth:
Treat it like a PowerBall win
– Tell no one, not even family. If you must talk, do so with one who is already in the know.
– Don’t run out & buy new “stuff”. People notice.
– Get an unpublished number and give it out very sparingly.
– Get a tax accountant you can trust to make sure the IRS is satisfied (Certified Opinion is something to look into) and pursue asset protection…
Read Complete List: http://www.dinarupdates.com/showthread.php?18519-The-Post-RV-Checklist-and-Flashback-documents&p=128477#post128477
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